Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 367.940961 418.698595 475.515786 544.128555 625.135729 718.214294 833.950053
2025-07-20 303.420943 372.066143 456.311699 568.580592 716.202087 906.427547 1174.635267
2025-07-27 260.978475 335.721651 433.106056 571.731782 768.070406 1042.627075 1467.521318
2025-08-03 225.353024 300.485300 402.911529 556.336311 786.769663 1131.050209 1706.866398
2025-08-10 199.590850 274.194738 379.836061 545.100152 806.283303 1220.064611 1962.716275
2025-08-17 186.572552 263.748596 377.114247 562.176706 869.881264 1387.294495 2386.779934
2025-08-24 171.255006 247.865731 363.875318 560.153596 900.958114 1504.490202 2749.149213
2025-08-31 156.789581 231.583198 347.866093 550.878698 917.214197 1597.021418 3086.199372
2025-09-07 146.782275 221.133762 339.753442 553.383042 954.054141 1733.847665 3552.684288
2025-09-14 135.381240 207.326084 324.599652 541.393799 961.570263 1813.617545 3913.791139
2025-09-21 127.151489 197.933883 315.826798 539.603726 988.127944 1937.242941 4417.259815
2025-09-28 116.359990 183.361935 296.777466 516.401667 968.034657 1955.712666 4657.689887
2025-10-05 113.311096 181.877708 300.819101 538.284023 1046.318960 2216.076645 5659.403653
2025-10-12 110.755741 181.030094 305.924562 563.005124 1135.505295 2525.545225 6946.567227
2025-10-19 105.523947 174.960873 300.757241 566.087848 1176.422756 2724.324311 7978.416903
2025-10-26 98.519581 165.140216 287.622885 550.877674 1171.932712 2802.148182 8633.232545
2025-11-02 92.646575 156.974923 276.975396 539.774813 1175.666852 2904.089417 9429.950249
2025-11-09 90.400864 155.386032 278.998235 556.648435 1252.099761 3235.800396 11319.902668
2025-11-16 86.310916 149.997219 272.968260 554.649437 1279.537566 3427.845186 12742.709453
2025-11-23 81.827535 143.547526 264.261367 545.484841 1286.396571 3557.270451 13965.951750
2025-11-30 78.806446 139.738168 260.675196 547.959440 1325.780131 3805.886904 15956.736160
2025-12-07 74.692009 133.510910 251.551259 536.112333 1322.743067 3908.470165 17257.366319
2025-12-14 71.757643 129.457837 246.739458 534.343425 1348.944840 4124.690900 19386.660204